Posted by BH
CURRENT GOP STANDINGS ON NOMINATIONS
Currently, Romney has 498 of the 1,144 he needs to be nominated. He now has 53% of the selected delegates, a clip he has been maintaining since the start of the process. Santorum has 25%, Gingrich 15%, and Paul 7%.
CURRENT DELEGATE COUNT | ||
| Romney | 498 | 53% |
| Santorum | 239 | 25% |
| Gingrich | 139 | 15% |
| Paul | 69 | 7% |
Romney is very likely to win the following winner-take-all primaries:
LIKELY ROMNEY WINNER TAKE ALL WINS | |
| Puerto Rico | 23 |
| DC | 19 |
| Maryland | 37 |
| Connecticut | 28 |
| Delaware | 17 |
| Rhode Island | 19 |
| Oregon | 28 |
| Cal | 172 |
| Montana | 25 |
| NJ | 50 |
| Utah | 40 |
458 + 498 (current Romney) ________________________ 956 TOTAL | |
In addition, Romney will probably win these winner take all states:
| Wisconsin | 42 |
| Indiana | 46 |
| West Virginia | 31 |
| Nebraska | 35 |
| South Dakota | 28 |
182 + 956 ___________ 1,138 | |
Finally, Romney will probably do very well in the following proportional representation states. Some, like New York and Illinois, award most of their delegates as a winner take all by Congressional District .
P.R. State Delegates / Prob Romney | |
| New York | 95 / 80 |
| Illinois | 69 / 45 |
| Maine | 24 / 20 |
| New Mexico | 23 / 15 |
160 + 1,138 ___________ 1,298 | |
Needed to Nominate: 1,144
So, even if Romney loses the winner take all primaries in North Carolina and Pennsylvania and gets clobbered in Texas, Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, and a few other conservative states, he should win the nomination by the time the primaries are over on June 6th.
So, even if Romney loses the winner take all primaries in North Carolina and Pennsylvania and gets clobbered in Texas, Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, and a few other conservative states, he should win the nomination by the time the primaries are over on June 6th.
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