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Sheera Frenkel
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Move Sunday seen as harbinger of yet more Middle East instability
JewishWorldReview.com |
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Ampal, an Israeli partner in the East Mediterranean Gas (EMG) joint
venture that operated the pipeline between the two countries, announced
Sunday night that Egyptian suppliers notified EMG that they were
terminating the gas supply. A spokesman for EMG could not be reached,
and the company would not confirm that it had it had ended its contract.
Israeli Finance Minister Yuval Steinitz expressed "great worry" about
reports of the Egyptian termination. His office said cancellation would
set a "dangerous precedent that darkens the peace treaties and the
atmosphere of peace between Israel and Egypt."
An Israeli official, speaking on the condition of anonymity, said it
would be the "final bit that breaks the camel's back" in the peace
treaty between Israel and Egypt.
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"The peace deal between us and Egypt has been on very shaky ground and now the final earthquake has happened. It appears the new Egyptian government is giving all the signals that it is no longer interested in the partnership and agreements it has established with Israel," the official said. "Even though Israel and Egypt would like to keep peace on a military level, their governments may not let them. I'm not saying it will come to blows soon, but it is clear that Israel can no longer lean and rely on Egypt in a significant way."
In 2005, a deal was reached between the Israeli and Egyptian governments
under which Egypt allocated 7 billion cubic meters of Egyptian gas to
the Israeli market for 20 years, with an option to double the supply.
According to the deal, Egypt would supply Israel with about 40 percent
of its natural gas needs.
For nearly six years, Egypt fulfilled its end of the deal. But a series
of attacks by militants over the last year have targeted the pipeline
that carries the Egyptian gas through the Sinai Peninsula to Israel.
Egyptian military officials said they were cracking down on the
militants responsible and blamed Bedouin groups, but Israeli officials
expressed dissatisfaction with Egypt's handling of the Sinai area.
In recent months, Israeli officials have become more outspoken about
what they call a "threat from Egypt." On Sunday morning, Israel's
foreign minister, Avigdor Lieberman, publically warned Israeli Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that Egypt presented more of a security
danger to Israel than Iran.
"We have to be prepared for all possibilities," said Lieberman,
recommending that Israel's military form three to four new brigades
along its southern border with Egypt.
Israel and Egypt signed a peace treaty in 1979 that provided for Egypt
to supply Israel with oil. Egypt's capacity to do so, however, dwindled
in the next two decades, and a clause was added to the peace treaty
which stipulated that Egypt would provide Israel with natural gas.
Knesset Member Binyamin Ben-Eliezer, who signed the gas deal with Egypt
during his term as infrastructure minister, said on Israeli television
that the deal's termination was another indication that a conflict
between Israel and Egypt is possible. He said the Egyptian energy
companies could not have terminated the deal without the government's
backing.
In Egypt, the gas deal between the two countries has long been seen as a
symbol of the corruption of the regime of ousted President Hosni
Mubarak.
Mubarak has been accused of profiting from the agreement. Farid al Deeb,
a lawyer defending Mubarak, told a Cairo court in January that there
was no evidence linking Mubarak to the controversial gas deal.
Protesters in Egypt, however, have continued to deride the deal and call for new terms to be negotiated.
There was much speculation in Egypt over the timing of the decision,
just weeks before the country's first presidential election since
Mubarak's ouster, but Egyptian officials said late Sunday that the
matter was commercial, not political.
Mohamed Shoeb, head of the Egyptian Natural Gas Holding Company, said on
the Al Jazeera TV channel that the decision to cut the exports has
nothing to do with politics, but was because Israel was months behind on
its payments.
A commonly held view among Egyptians is that Israel gets a sweetheart
deal on the exports. Egyptians say it's an example of the close
relationship that was forged between Mubarak's regime and Israel, the
deeply unpopular former occupier of Egyptian lands. Israeli officials
say they pay regular price for the gas.
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